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 National Real Estate News

 

View on Homeownership

The results of a biannual survey, released recently by real estate search and marketing portal Trulia, found that 80 percent of homeowners plan to buy another home, and that most survey participants view homeownership, and placing money in a 401(k) or other retirement account, as the best long-term investments. Market research firm Harris Interactive conducted the survey, which drew responses from 1,392 homeowners and 758 renters. Source: Trulia

 

No Further Price Declines

Prices for U.S. homes may climb soon, ending declines, as foreclosures decline make more home available for sale, Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan said.

“It’s very unlikely that we will see a significant further decline,” Donovan said recently on CNN. “The real question is when will we start to see sustainable increases. Some think it will be as early as the end of this summer or this fall.”

Home sales have increased in six out of the past nine months and the number of property owners in default is declining, Donovan said on CNN’s “State of the Union” program. Housing prices will begin rising as the number of foreclosures declines, he said.

“In the long run, it’s a good time to buy,” Donovan said. “It’s so affordable today compared to where it’s been for generations.”

Encouraging home ownership should avoid giving buyers an expectation of making $1 million overnight, Donovan said. “We can get back to the place where it’s a good investment and we will be able to make money over time.” Source: Bloomberg.net 

Owning a Home Retains Allure

Nearly nine in 10 Americans say homeownership is an important part of the American dream, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll. And they are keen on making sure it stays that way, for themselves and everyone else.

Support for helping people in financial distress over housing is higher than support for helping those without a job for many months. Source: NY Times

FHFA issues new appraisal standards

New standards for appraisals were recently announced by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and take effect September 1.

The Uniform Appraisal Dataset (UAD) was created to improve the quality and consistency of appraisals on mortgages for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, according to FHFA.


The UAD only applies to single-family residential properties and condos (not multi-family units or manufactured homes), according to Bradley. Appraisals will now be required to have standardized verbiage. Appraisers will be required to use condition (C1-C6) and quality (Q1-Q6) ratings based on the provided definitions. Source: PAR

Staging Results in Quicker Sale 

Ninety-four percent of staged homes sell within 33 days, compared to non-staged homes which sell in 144 days, according to StagedHomes.com.  Showing photos of a property before it’s been staged and after often helps the seller understand the difference. Research shows the return on investment is about 568 percent.  Nearly 25 percent of properties are staged today, up from 10 percent about 10 years ago

According to some sources, staged homes average 10 to 20 percent more in sales price.

Happy Homeowners 

A new study released by Bankrate, Inc. and conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International shows that, even with home prices sliding and mortgage rates the lowest in decades, the vast majority of Americans do not regret buying their current home.

Among the findings:

-Ninety percent of homeowners say they don’t regret buying their home versus a mere 9% who said they do

-Among those who regret buying their homes, the most common reasons cited were because they cannot sell their home and move on along with those who say they regret their purchase since they can’t afford their monthly mortgage payments

-Only eight percent of Americans don’t know what type of mortgage loan they have, down from 26% who didn’t in a Bankrate poll commissioned two years ago

-Fixed-rate mortgages are rising in popularity with 79% of those polled saying they have a fixed-rate mortgage on their home

-Wealthier Americans most overwhelmingly favored fixed-rate mortgages with almost 90% of those polled who make over $75,000 saying their home was paid for with a fixed-rate mortgage.  Source: BankRate.com

Tips for Buyers Navigating the Current Housing Market

How can buyers find their way in the current marketplace, with its shifting home prices and an extensive inventory that includes many distressed properties? Here’s some advice on how to speed up the process from experienced real estate professionals.

-Do enough looking to get to know your local market. Each local market has its own character, and buyers must adjust their expectations accordingly. Otherwise you can continue looking for a home that doesn’t exist. 

-Let your emotions help you.  Only looking at price and condition leaves emotion out of the equation which makes it difficult for buyers to commit to a purchase.

-Decide if a distressed property is really right for you. Foreclosures and short sales offer buyers great value, but these properties tend to have their own limitations.  Foreclosures almost always sold “as is”. Short sales take months to get to the closing table, and transactions can eventually fall apart.  

-Don’t focus too heavily on price.
Consider the other benefits of purchasing—the tax deductions, the amazingly low mortgage interest rates currently available 

-Be ready to negotiate. Initiate a negotiation. Make an offer at a price you are comfortable with, even if it is well below the listed price. The seller may negotiate. Sellers don’t want a viable buyer to walk away. 

-Don’t let negative comments about the housing market scare you off. Buyers shouldn’t lose sight of the many positives in the current market, such as the fact that home affordability is at its highest in decades. Buyers should keep their eye on the numbers that directly impact them—property prices, interest rates and how those translate into monthly payments.  Source: RIS Media

5  Traits of Todays Home Buyers

 A survey by American Lives, a consumer research firm in California, conducted a study for the trade magazine Builder to answer that question. Here are their conclusions:

· They are young. Most are under 45. Half said they had annual household incomes of $75,000 or less.
 
. Two-thirds are married.

· They are frugal. They consistently told surveyors they were eager to live a simple lifestyle.

· They are concerned about their financial future. About 70 percent said the economy is “not so good”   with 27 percent saying it was getting worse and 27 percent saying it was getting better, and two-thirds saying it would get better in a year. Some 55 percent said they were concerned that they might lose their jobs.

· They see themselves as energy efficient but not necessarily “green.” About 32 percent said they’d pay extra for energy-efficient features but only 16 percent said they’d pay extra for recycled or renewable construction materials.

· Neighborhood is important. Ninety-five percent said they thought the community was as important as the home itself. Seventy-nine percent wanted the most square footage they could afford, but 69 percent said they’d consider a smaller home in the right neighborhood.
Source: Inman News, Mary Umberger

Owners Spending Less on Housing

The percentage home owners with mortgages who spent 30 percent or more of their household income on housing, including mortgage payments, taxes, insurance, and utilities, was 37.6 percent in 2009, almost unchanged from 2008. At the same time, the median home price dropped about 6 percent, according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau.

Renters weren’t so lucky. The number of renters spending 30 percent or more of their household income on housing-related costs rose to 51.5 percent of all renters in 2009, rising from 50 percent in 2008, according to the Census.

Two factors affected housing affordability:
· Median household income, adjusted for inflation, fell 2.9 percent in 2009 as unemployment rose.
· Median monthly housing costs, including rent and utilities, rose 3 percent in 2009 from $818 to $842.
Source: USA Today

HUD Rules on Home Warranties Owners

HUD ruled that fees paid to Realtors for "marketing" home warranties to sellers/buyers are illegal kickbacks and are prohibited under RESPA, the federal law governing residential real estate providers. This is a common practice at many companies and will impact their policies. Source: PAR, Just Listed

HGTV names Buyers Agency #8 on Things First-Time Homebuyers Tips List

#8: Not all real estate agents represent buyers. There are three types of agents: listing agents, who represent sellers and help them get the best price; buyers' agents, who represent buyers and protect their interests; and agents who represent either (or both). Often, first-time buyers prefer to work exclusively with a buyer's agent so there are no possible conflicts of interest. Source: HGTV's FrontDoor.com

Cash Buyers

NAR reported that back in 2008, all-cash deals amounted to about 14 percent. Currently, the percentage has doubled to 28 percent nationwide.

Here are some issues:

1. Cash buyers need not worry about qualifying for mortgage loans at a time when lenders have tightened standards and delays are possible.
 
2. It is a good sign when buyers with cash to spend enter housing markets. This is an indication of the bottoming or near bottoming of price declines.

 3. At beaten-down prices, wealthy individuals or households are tempted to sell other assets to raise cash, especially if that market has not declined, in order to “gobble up” perceived real estate bargains.

 4. A rule of thumb is that the more a local housing market has fallen, the greater the likelihood of cash buyers coming in. Volatility of house prices is a useful measure.
 
5. Cash buyers appear to be willing to make aggressive (low) offers to sellers who may be anxious to unload their unwanted assets despite having lowered the asking prices, sometimes more than once. Real estate played as hardball.
 
6. While mortgage rates have risen only a little, there is considerable scrutiny of applicants these days on the part of lenders largely due to Fannie and Freddie’s rising standards. A recent article noted that even seemingly qualified borrowers “sometimes [get rejected] for no good reason.” 
 
7. Cash buyers always have the option to take out a mortgage (a “refi” without an existing mortgage to repay) if they change their minds or need cash. (Yes, we heard this story before!)
 
8. Another class of cash buyers is the set of wealthy individuals from abroad. Whether for consumption or investment purposes, part of the motivation of the purchase in these cases is to park foreign money in real assets in the United States.

There was a time when purchasing real property always used long-term, fixed-rate, fully-amortizing debt, even if cash was available. The motivation was to lever up the returns on equity. These days even if you can get approved at favorable rates, it is sometimes simply easier to liquidate other assets, as needed, and avoid the complications of mortgage financing. Now, we do not expect mortgage markets to dry up and cease to be the primary funding source for home ownership. However, it is a testimonial to the over-reaction in the lending community and at the GSEs after years of loose and sloppy lending practices. Source: PAR “Just Listed”

Why Short Sales are NOT 

Short sales are taking longer to get approved for many different reasons, mainly because the Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI) doesn’t want to pay the claims. If the PMI company agrees to the short sale, it has to make an immediate payout, so there is a built-in time issue right there.  This is after the bank has gone through its own (often laborious) process.  Do not expect a short sale to be on the buyers time table.

Buyer’s Agency Touted

A conflict of interest is more likely when a real estate firm that represents sellers assigns you one of its brokers as a buyer agent. That’s why many people believe an “exclusive” buyer broker is preferable.” If there aren’t any in your area, and you have to use a listing broker, make sure they disclose when they are showing you properties they have a financial interest in,” says Stephen Brobeck, executive director of the Consumers Federation of America. Source: Business Week Magazine 
 
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Low Mortgage Rates

Recently, many sources reported that mortgage rates fell after the Federal Reserve signaled it would keep interest rates exceptionally low until at least late 2014, which is further into the future than had previously been anticipated.

Renovations That Pay Off

CNN Money reports the Top 5 Renovations a home owner can make to increase the value of their home.

Low Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates sunk to record lows again, according to CNN Money. The average rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage fell to 3.94%, matching the all-time low hit in early October, 2011, according to Freddie Mac's weekly mortgage rate survey. Meanwhile, 15-year fixed-rate loans hit a new record low of 3.21%, surpassing the record set on October 6. Five-year adjustable rate mortgages also plumbed new depths, hitting 2.86% for the week.

Low-interest mortgages will be available at least through mid-2012, according to Freddie Mac's chief economist, Frank Nothaft. Source: CNN Money

Good News for Folk Frustrated with their Mortgage Company

Consumers have a new resource for mortgage problems, as a result of recent legislation.  It is found online at:  http://www.consumerfinance.gov/   Consumers may also call at: (855) 411-CFPB (2372). Hopefully, homebuyers having issues obtaining a mortgage (and there are too many to enumerate) will be able to find some assistance here as well. 

Listing Your Homes During the Holidays

Sixty percent of real estate professionals advise their sellers to list a home during the holidays because it’s a good time to sell, according to a new survey conducted by Realtor.com.

Why are the holidays such a good time to sell? Seventy-nine percent of the agents surveyed said that more serious buyers come out during the holidays, and 61 percent say less competition from other properties make it a great time to sell. Plus, 17 percent of agents say the cold weather is actually a benefit, making homes feel more cozy.


But online listing photos become even more crucial during the holiday season, according to the survey. Slightly more than half of agents say that the photos are more important because sellers tend to offer less open houses around the holidays, and so the online photos help buyers decide the properties to see and which ones to possibly bypass. Source:
Realtor Mag

A Turnaround in Real Estate? 

Fortune magazine recently touted “The Return of Real Estate.” “Finally! After years of plummeting home prices, the market is showing signs of a turnaround.” Oh, how many in the industry have waited for such a declaration! The author goes on: “Forget stocks. Don’t bet on gold… the most attractive asset class in America is housing.  It’s time to buy again.”

Of course, this is just one writer and one publication. However, it is interesting to note that there are growing signs of a recovery. It’s been a long time coming.

Chip Case of Case-Shiller fame is quoted as saying that the dramatic decline in new construction will be a significant factor in the housing recovery. Indeed, the Fortune piece claims low new construction figures and the steep fall in house prices nationwide and especially in “sand” markets, will lead housing back as a healthy sector.

Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics is an optimist. He expects home prices to rise faster than inflation in the years ahead at least in those housing markets without huge inventories due to foreclosures. With rising rent levels already underway, home ownership as a strategy may regain some shine after all.

There is something happening in many housing markets which has been absent for the past several years. Buyers are growing more confident that prices have bottomed out or will do so soon.  For the moment, there is a bit of good news on the short-term planning horizon Source: PAR Just Listed

Change in Federal Guidelines for Mortgages

For the last three years, federal agencies have backed new mortgages as large as $729,750 in desirable neighborhoods in high-cost states like California, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and Massachusetts. If the Federal government’s new guidelines are passed, the government  will no longer cover the risk of default for those loans and many lenders will refuse to make them. Here in the Philadelphia area, the limit has always been low--$417,000, so there will be limited repercussions here.

Since Democrats and Republicans agree that the taxpayer should no longer be responsible for homes valued well above the national average, they are about to turn a top slice of the housing market into a testing ground for whether the private mortgage market can once again go it alone. The result, analysts say, will be higher-cost loans and fewer potential buyers for more expensive homes.Source: NY Times 

Home Buyers Go Hunting Alone

After years of trepidation, home buyers are finally beginning to wade back into the housing market. But as they do, many are making the surprising choice to hunt alone, rejecting the assistance of what's known in real estate as a buyer's agent.

Many experts think this is a bad move – worse, for example, than trying to sell a house without an agent. For one thing, in most cases, a buyer doesn't pay an agent; the buyer's agent splits the commission with the seller's agent, so the services are essentially free to the buyer. Also, a buyer's agent can usually access historical price data for home sales in the area, which means he can recommend a bidding strategy that targets comparable properties that sold for less, rather than the mid-range. John Vogel, adjunct professor of real estate at the Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College, calls going through this process alone "a mistake."

In many cases buyers may be at an advantage when they work with a buyer's agent – at least compared to relying on a seller's agent for advice or guidance. A seller's agent is contractually obligated to help make the sale happen in the seller's favor, often as close to the asking price as possible. Read full article. Source: Smart Money

Floodplain Remapping

Floodplain mappin is 85 percent complete throughout Pennsylvania, according to Dave Bollinger, mitigation outreach coordinator for the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), in Philadelphia. Floodplain maps that have been approved are available online.  Areas that are undergoing the remapping process are available on a separate website.

If a homeowner’s property moves from a low-risk to a high-risk zone, they are able to purchase flood insurance at the lower rate before the new mapping takes effect. A grandfather clause allows them to keep that rate throughout the time they keep the flood insurance policy in force. In fact, Bollinger said this grandfathered rate can pass to a new property owner if the house is sold. “Many people don’t realize that the policy stays with the house, not the owner,” he said.

NABEA Gives Top Concerns to Consumers Buying a Short Sale 

A survey sent to members of NAEBA examined known issues that could complicate or kill a transaction and ranked those most critical for consumers to know before entering a short sale deal.
Known issues that were ranked as important to know included:

- Short sales can take 4 to 6 months or longer and 80% of buyer agents warn that even after the seller has accepted your offer, the lender can reject your offer in favor of a higher offer. Buyers may spend money on home inspectors and attorneys only to end up without a house.


- 83% of respondents believe it is important for consumers to know home inspections conducted prior to third party approval may be a waste of money. 


 -The majority of exclusive buyer agents (80%) warn that sellers may agree to any offer even if there is little chance that the bank will approve it, and 68% warn that during negotiations for approval the lender and seller may come to terms on a loan modification killing your transaction. Source: NAEBA

Why is now a great time to buy? Here are 10 reasons:

1. You can get a good deal. Prices are down in most areas. They're at a level that makes sense for people's income.

2. Mortgages are cheap. At 4.3 percent on average for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, your costs to own are down by a fifth from two years ago.

3. You can save on taxes. When you add up the deductions for mortgage interest and others, the cost of owning can drop below renting for a comparable place.

4. It'll be yours. The one benefit to owning that never changes is that you can paint your walls orange if you want (generally speaking; there might be some community restrictions). How many landlords will let you do that?

5. You can get a better home. In some markets, it's simply the case that the nicest places are for-sale homes and condos.

6. It offers some inflation protection. Historically, appreciation over time outpaces inflation.

7. It's risk capital. If the economy picks up, you stand to benefit from that, even if you're goal is just to have a nice place to live.

8. It's forced savings. A part of your payment each month goes to equity.

9. There is a lot to choose from. There are some 4 million homes available today, about a year's supply. Now's the time to find something you like and get it.

10. Sooner or later the market will clear. The U.S. is expected to grow by another 100 million people in 40 years. They have to live somewhere. Demand will eventually outpace supply.
Source: Wall Street Journal, Brett Arends 

Homes Getting Smaller

CNNMoney.com reported that in 2009, the median new home was about 2,135 square feet, which was down from 2,300 square feet only a few years earlier. CNN quotes Steven Pace, a North Carolina developer, who observed, “Home buyers are asking for less, cutting back on options and reducing square footage.”

Before the housing bubble burst, it was typical to explain expanding housing preferences as part of modern life: we really did need three- and four-car garages, 4,000 square feet of newly constructed, modern housing space with several upgrades, including a bathroom for nearly every bedroom. Yet now, upscale items such as “formal landscaping, decorative water features, tennis courts and gazebos” are out of fashion. 

These days, however, it is easy to explain why median new homes are diminishing in size.  With no appreciation potential ahead for several years, housing is back to being a consumption good and it is expensive to purchase, furnish and maintain extra space. Source: Austin Jaffe, PAR

Best Places to Retire

A recent release from U.S. News & World Report lists the most affordable places to retire. The list, which includes Ann Arbor, Michigan and Fort Worth, Texas, was populated based on median home prices and an affordable cost of living. Source: U.S. News & World Report, REALTOR® Magazine Online,

FICO Score No - No's

Recently, credit reporting agencies revealed what deductions occur in FICO scores with certain actions by borrowers. Many were surprised to see how difficult it is to get a good FICO score and keep it over time. As many in the industry have noted, taking care of your credit record is quite important and as the evidence above shows, your record is sensitive to any lapses or mistakes.
Consider:
for Borrowers with a sub-prime 680 score and an eight-year credit history with two delinquencies

· Maxing out a credit card: reduces FICO by 10-30 points
· Produces a one-month delinquent payment: reduces FICO by 60-80 points
· Settles a credit card balance without full payment: reduces FICO by 45-65 points
· Agrees to a short sale: reduces FICO by 55-75 points
· Accepts a foreclosure: reduces FICO by 85-105 points
· Declares bankruptcy: reduces FICO by 130-150 points

The impact of these acts on a less risky borrower, one with an excellent 780 score (or one who has not missed a payment in 15 years):

· Maxing out a credit card: reduces FICO by 25-45 points
· Produces a one-month delinquent payment: reduces FICO by 90-110 points
· Settles a credit card balance without full payment: reduces FICO by 105-125 points
· Agrees to a short sale: reduces FICO by 115-135 points
· Accepts a foreclosure: reduces FICO by 140-160 points
· Declares bankruptcy: reduces FICO by 220-240 points
Source: Real Estate Today

Reversal in Home Finance Behavior

During some long periods (such as 1991-2006), homeowners came to appreciate the significant increases to their equity positions as owners of real property. While “equity build-up” contributed to the enhanced equity via the funding of the sinking fund built into the FRM payment schedule, the major factor was continual high rates of price appreciation. Coupled with fixed rate mortgages at lower rates than house-price appreciation, the returns were leveraged further by mortgage financing. 

In the 1980s and 1990s, financial innovations permitted households to draw upon this new source of wealth without having to sell their assets. The development of “home-equity loans” as second mortgages and “home-equity lines of credit” enabled households to fuel additional consumption by borrowing against their newfound wealth.  It became common to view housing as the owner’s personal cash register – or home equity as one’s very own ATM.    

The Wall Street Journal reported that as much as $80 billion each quarter was “cashed out” during the period of growing house prices (December 8, 2010).  With continuing price increases, lending policies softened and this added to the opportunities. (In the U.K., this financing phenomenon was termed “equity leakage,” following the tradition of separating the housing and financial sectors.) At its peak, cashing out accounted for 90 percent of all residential mortgage refinancing. 

Now there is a new development: refinancing is now a “cashing in” experience. The Journal reports that in the third quarter of 2010, home-equity financing totaled about $7.4 billion (or less than 10 percent of the volume at the market’s peak). Further, those cashing out were only 18 percent; those cashing in (mostly to lower their monthly payments) totaled about 33 percent.
There are at least three implications of the “cash-in” trend. 

- While refinancing used to be viewed as a major funding source for exotic vacations, new cars, college tuition or other household expenditures, now it is being used to pay off existing debt and to help manage the household’s cash outflows.
- Cash-out refinancing was a mechanism to fuel consumer spending and economic growth.  Cash-in refinancing is consistent with elevated household savings, lower consumption and regrettably, lower rates of economic growth.
- Those households that might benefit the most from home equity loans (especially cash in refinancing) often cannot participate since their initial equity contribution is long gone and they are faced with significant negative equity. In addition, the sizable fees required to refinance hit these borrowers particularly hard.  Source:
Austin Jaffee, PAR  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

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